It's difficult to know where to start. We all know that we just can't score, the forwards to a man are all way off form, lacking in confidence and all movement, taking risks, has come to a complete stop. They are taking the majority of the flack and some would say that?s right, but I don?t necessarily think that?s fair.
The style of play, the formation we take is all geared up for Cahill. It's totally dependent on getting either full back around the back and delivering a cross. It's slow, premeditated and for 80% of the time it's totally dependent on Baines. Coleman doesn?t possess the skill as yet to deliver perfect crosses, he doesn?t lift his head up to see where to deliver.
The midfield (Coleman apart) don?t ever move forward with the ball, it's always 10-yard passes square, slightly forward, looking for little openings. The openings are never forced with strong forward runs, which commit defenders to leave their positions and gaps open up for others. The midfield, rarely take responsibility and shoot. We sit too deep, I think to shield the back four, who to a man make calamitous mistakes which invariably create chances for the opposition to test Howard. Howard himself seems out of sorts this year, I can't remember how many times he?s dropped the ball as well as the two huge mistakes at Blackburn and Spurs.
As a consequence, the forwards rely on tid-bits, and when a true chance is created they are devoid of any confidence to take that split second longer to finish it.
I don?t see it ending, unless there is a complete shake-up in how we play. We have, in no particular order, to get our right-hand side more creative, get our midfielders to create space for the front men, get more men up there be it 4-4-2 or even 4-3-3, develop a system which can utilise Cahill but not at the expense of the other forwards. I don?t know the answer, I don?t think Moyes at the moment can think laterally to develop one. He has lost faith big time in Yakubu, Bily, Beckford and Heitinga. He can't work out how to utilise Fellaini, Rodwell and Arteta together. He hasn?t got the courage or time to give Gueye a chance.
If you really look at the stats, our season at best is heading towards a 50/55-point total (this assumes we get roughly an average of 1.65 points a game in our last 21 games ? our previous best run), the more likely target of 42-26 points if we just manage to get some form. This season is different I know but I still reckon the minimum European place will require about 60 points ? a total we have no chance of reaching. Moyes?s dilemma is that he cannot change to a system he hasn?t tried or tested, we are too close to being in a relegation battle and he desperately needs his tried and trusted 4-5-1 to come good.
Cahill is absolutely critical to Moyes, and whilst he is away for his 4 to 6 weeks Asia Cup I believe Moyes will push Fellaini up front. He hasn?t got anyone else who has the aerial ability his system needs ? Bily, Osman, even Donovan if we get him, cant provide it, but they can provide a subtlety Cahill hasn?t got, but which Moyes won't try. You better get use to it, Moyes is here for the season and so is 4-5-1 .
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Opposition managers have long ago sussed out Moyes and his crap 4-5-1 negatively defensive system that is only popular with negative defensively minded cowards. I wonder if those same managers are part of a conspiracy that awards MotM to Moyes as an encouragement for him to keep using it.
We scrape good results from top teams because their managers play attacking football and a willing to sacrifice some defence in order to do so. That is why their teams are at the top.
Managers of lesser teams, happy with a draw, play twin strikers and park the bus. They bypass our crowded midfield with long balls aimed at their twin strikers who put our back line under one on one pressure. Judging by many of the goals we concede that is a simple yet highly effective counter to Moyes blasted 4-5-1.
I know Bily has his detractors: Lack of pace to beat a man, not a winger but he can deliver a killer cross, and there is always Gueye who could come in and have a go. We are resigned to losing Pienaar anyway, so, the sooner we learn how to accomodate the loss, the better.And I agree about Arteta as well, leave him on the bench for a bit to get his hunger back. He's not exactly a bad sub to have to bring on is he?
I have a feeling Yak could be on his way and the jury is still out on Beckford. Goals are the problem with the strikers we have... fresh blood required.
On their day, the players we have have produced some excellent football. Moyes began building this squad seven years ago, many are older, slower and not as sharp as they once were, that's not going to come back to them. On paper it looks like a great set of players. On their day, at their best, they are. But that was yesterday. Tomorrow's planning needs to start today. Can Moyes do it? Do we want Moyes to do it?How do we stay in the PL in the meantime?Who are the players to offload?We are running out of time moving the same pawns around the board. Just running out of time.
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